{"id":23119,"date":"2022-04-20T12:00:20","date_gmt":"2022-04-20T12:00:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/?p=23119"},"modified":"2022-09-21T18:26:08","modified_gmt":"2022-09-21T18:26:08","slug":"a-closer-look","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/a-closer-look\/","title":{"rendered":"A closer look."},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"23119\" class=\"elementor elementor-23119\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<header class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-dcea1cf elementor-section-full_width elementor-section-height-min-height elementor-section-stretched elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-items-middle\" data-id=\"dcea1cf\" data-element_type=\"section\" 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elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-cac543c elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"cac543c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<style>\/*! elementor - v3.20.0 - 20-03-2024 *\/\n.elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-stacked .elementor-drop-cap{background-color:#69727d;color:#fff}.elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-framed .elementor-drop-cap{color:#69727d;border:3px solid;background-color:transparent}.elementor-widget-text-editor:not(.elementor-drop-cap-view-default) .elementor-drop-cap{margin-top:8px}.elementor-widget-text-editor:not(.elementor-drop-cap-view-default) .elementor-drop-cap-letter{width:1em;height:1em}.elementor-widget-text-editor .elementor-drop-cap{float:left;text-align:center;line-height:1;font-size:50px}.elementor-widget-text-editor .elementor-drop-cap-letter{display:inline-block}<\/style>\t\t\t\t<h3 style=\"margin-bottom: 9.75pt;\"><span class=\"h3\"><span style=\"font-size: 15pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS', sans-serif; border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0cm;\">A closer look at the markets.<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 15.0pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; color: #2b2c33;\"><\/span><\/h3><p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span class=\"body-text\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS', sans-serif; border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0cm;\"><!--\n--><span style=\"text-decoration: inherit;\">I am not saying that a recession is imminent, but one may be lurking around the corner; and if it\u2019s not a recession, it&#8217;s probably recession\u2019s cousin stagflation.<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; color: #2b2c33;\"><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p><h3 style=\"margin-bottom: 9.75pt;\"><!--\n--><\/h3><p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span class=\"body-text\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS', sans-serif; border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0cm;\"><!--\n--><span style=\"text-decoration: inherit;\">Let&#8217;s take a quick look at what we&#8217;re\u00a0seeing.\u00a0<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 10.5pt; color: #2b2c33;\"><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p><h3 style=\"margin-bottom: 9.75pt;\"><!--\n--><span style=\"text-decoration: inherit;\"><!--\n--><\/span><\/h3><h3 style=\"margin-bottom: 9.75pt; text-align: justify; text-justify: inter-ideograph;\"><span><b><i><u><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS', sans-serif; border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0cm;\"><!-- --><span style=\"text-decoration: inherit;\"><!-- -->Real Wages<\/span><\/span><\/u><\/i><\/b><b><\/b><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS', sans-serif; border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0cm;\"> &#8211; <span style=\"font-weight: normal;\">Wages adjusted for inflation have been growing at a negative rate since April 2021. This means that people are making less today than they were in May 2021 (in terms of buying power).<\/span><\/span><\/span><!-- --><\/h3>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-04fa870 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"04fa870\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-8adf9d8\" data-id=\"8adf9d8\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-2b9c3b4 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"2b9c3b4\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"782\" src=\"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/real-wages-1024x782.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-23122\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/real-wages-1024x782.png 1024w, https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/real-wages-300x229.png 300w, https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/real-wages-768x586.png 768w, https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/real-wages.png 1183w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-caf183e elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"caf183e\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-fbb02c4\" data-id=\"fbb02c4\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-62a25aa elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"62a25aa\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"line-height: 14.25pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 7.5pt 0cm;\"><span><i><u><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; color: black; border: none windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0cm; padding: 0cm; mso-ansi-language: EN-CA; mso-fareast-language: EN-GB; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;\"><b>Mortgage Rates<\/b><\/span><\/u><\/i><span style=\"font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS', sans-serif; color: black; border: 1pt none windowtext; padding: 0cm;\"><b> <\/b>&#8211; Mortgage rates are now above 5% and are set to continue rising as the Federal Reserve has an aggressive rate schedule of rate hikes planned for 2022.\u00a0This is important because the Fed is just starting its rate hike cycle.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-e4cec6f elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"e4cec6f\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-cc6c840\" data-id=\"cc6c840\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-7e82c5c elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"7e82c5c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"621\" src=\"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/mortgage-rates-1024x621.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-23125\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/mortgage-rates-1024x621.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/mortgage-rates-300x182.jpg 300w, https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/mortgage-rates-768x465.jpg 768w, https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/mortgage-rates.jpg 1320w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-2fbe3bf elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"2fbe3bf\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-136a444\" data-id=\"136a444\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-b910190 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"b910190\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p class=\"MsoNormal\" style=\"line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span class=\"body-text\"><b><i><u><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; color: black; border: none windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0cm; padding: 0cm; mso-ansi-language: EN-CA; mso-fareast-language: EN-GB; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;\">Household Debt<\/span><\/u><\/i><\/b><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; color: black; border: none windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0cm; padding: 0cm; mso-ansi-language: EN-CA; mso-fareast-language: EN-GB; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;\"> &#8211; Total household debt is above 100% of GDP in countries such as Canada, Australia, and Switzerland (Meaning: the people owe more than the total country&#8217;s GDP).\u00a0Higher Fed rates also mean higher revolving and floating debt rates for households.<\/span><\/span><\/p><p style=\"line-height: 14.25pt; margin: 0cm 0cm 7.5pt 0cm;\"><span><!-- --><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-d2dbf60 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"d2dbf60\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"637\" height=\"643\" src=\"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/hh-debt.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-23121\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/hh-debt.png 637w, https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/hh-debt-297x300.png 297w, https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/hh-debt-150x150.png 150w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 637px) 100vw, 637px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5b383ae elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"5b383ae\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><span class=\"body-text\"><b><i><u><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; color: black; border: none windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0cm; padding: 0cm; mso-ansi-language: EN-CA; mso-fareast-language: EN-GB; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;\">Producer Price Index (PPI)<\/span><\/u><\/i><\/b><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; color: black; border: none windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0cm; padding: 0cm; mso-ansi-language: EN-CA; mso-fareast-language: EN-GB; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;\"> &#8211;\u00a0 Price index that measures the changes in prices received by domestic producers. In other words, what producers of goods pay for their raw materials. Year over year % change in PPI is now the highest it has been since the early 80s.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-62f008f elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"62f008f\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"501\" src=\"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/PPI-1024x501.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-23124\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/PPI-1024x501.png 1024w, https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/PPI-300x147.png 300w, https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/PPI-768x376.png 768w, https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/PPI-1536x752.png 1536w, https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/PPI.png 1600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5726e33 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"5726e33\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS',sans-serif; color: black; border: none windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0cm; padding: 0cm;\">The Chairman of Restoration Hardware said it plainly:<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS',sans-serif; color: black; border: none windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0cm; padding: 0cm;\"><br \/><i><br \/><span><b><!--\n-->\u201cI don\u2019t think anybody really understands what\u2019s coming from an inflation point of view, because either businesses are going to make a lot less money or they\u2019re going to raise their prices. And I don\u2019t think anybody really understands how high prices are going to go everywhere.\u201d<\/b><\/span><\/i><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family: Calibri; color: #2b2c33;\"><\/span><\/p><p style=\"line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS',sans-serif; color: black; border: none windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0cm; padding: 0cm;\"><!--\n--><span style=\"text-decoration: inherit;\">Some people remain bullish broader equities based on the idea that we are at peak inflation. I don\u2019t see that as a reality as long as PPI keeps surging, because we have 2 options:<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 10.5pt; color: #2b2c33;\"><\/span><\/span><\/p><ol start=\"1\" type=\"1\"><li style=\"color: #2b2c33; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; line-height: 14.25pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 36.0pt;\"><span style=\"text-decoration: inherit;\"><!--\n--><span><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS',sans-serif; color: black; border: none windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0cm; padding: 0cm;\">Companies eat the price increases and margins collapse<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 10.5pt;\"><\/span><\/span><\/li><li style=\"color: #2b2c33; mso-margin-top-alt: auto; mso-margin-bottom-alt: auto; line-height: 14.25pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1; tab-stops: list 36.0pt;\"><span style=\"text-decoration: inherit;\"><span><!--\n--><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS',sans-serif; color: black; border: none windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0cm; padding: 0cm;\">Companies pass on the price increases to consumers, inflation keeps rising (buying power continues to erode), and the Fed plans even more rate hikes.<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 10.5pt;\"><\/span><\/span><\/li><\/ol><p style=\"line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span><b><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS',sans-serif; color: black; border: none windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0cm; padding: 0cm;\"><span style=\"text-decoration: inherit;\">What is my takeaway from all of this?<\/span><\/span><\/b><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 10.5pt; color: #2b2c33;\"><\/span><\/p><p style=\"line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span><!--\n--><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS',sans-serif; color: #2b2c33; border: none windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0cm; padding: 0cm;\"><span style=\"text-decoration: inherit;\">The world is in a very precarious position. The pundits\u00a0that said\u00a0\u201cdon\u2019t fight the Fed\u201d are now fighting the Fed. The same people who said the consumer is strong with 1.8% inflation are saying they\u2019re still strong at 8.5% inflation.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 10.5pt; color: #2b2c33;\"><\/span><\/p><p style=\"line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span><!--\n--><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS',sans-serif; color: black; border: none windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0cm; padding: 0cm;\"><span style=\"text-decoration: inherit;\">My point is we&#8217;re not only seeing perma-bulls we&#8217;re seeing\u00a0perma-BS, and there are already warnings of a flagging market. Netflix is ~70% off its highs, wiping out 4 years of gains in a few weeks. JP Morgan shares are down ~40% after last week\u2019s earnings showed a slide in profits.<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 10.5pt; color: #2b2c33;\"><\/span><\/span><\/p><p><span><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; color: black; border: none windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0cm; padding: 0cm; mso-ansi-language: EN-CA; mso-fareast-language: EN-GB; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;\"><!--\n--><span style=\"text-decoration: inherit;\">You can see from the chart below that JPM\u2019s stock is highly correlated to the S&amp;P 500. Are these stocks the proverbial canary in a coal mine?<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-dc696a0 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"dc696a0\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"469\" src=\"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/JPM-stock-Sp500-1024x469.jpg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large wp-image-23123\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/JPM-stock-Sp500-1024x469.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/JPM-stock-Sp500-300x138.jpg 300w, https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/JPM-stock-Sp500-768x352.jpg 768w, https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/JPM-stock-Sp500.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f649275 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"f649275\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p style=\"line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS',sans-serif; color: black; border: none windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0cm; padding: 0cm;\">That remains to be seen.<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS',sans-serif; color: black; border: none windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0cm; padding: 0cm;\"><br \/><br \/><span>I do not know if the market will sell off tomorrow, in 7 months, or if it\u2019ll mostly trade sideways for the next few years.\u00a0<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-font-family: Calibri; color: #2b2c33;\"><\/span><\/p><p style=\"line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS',sans-serif; color: black; border: none windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0cm; padding: 0cm;\"><span style=\"text-decoration: inherit;\"><!--\n-->What I do know, is that when the market turns over, it will be time to own precious metals. I am a firm believer in gold as an antifragile investment &#8211; which we have talked about at length over the past several months.<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 10.5pt; color: #2b2c33;\"><\/span><\/span><\/p><p style=\"line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span><i><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS',sans-serif; color: black; border: none windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0cm; padding: 0cm;\"><span style=\"text-decoration: inherit;\"><!--\n-->\u201cAntifragile is a property of systems in which they increase in capability to thrive as a result of stressors, shocks, volatility, noise, mistakes, faults, attacks, or failures.\u201d <\/span><\/span><\/i><span><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS',sans-serif; color: black; border: none windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0cm; padding: 0cm;\">&#8211; Nassim Taleb\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 10.5pt; color: #2b2c33;\"><\/span><\/p><p style=\"line-height: 14.25pt;\"><span><!--\n--><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS',sans-serif; color: black; border: none windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0cm; padding: 0cm;\"><span style=\"text-decoration: inherit;\">For gold, this means that as volatility and uncertainty increase gold strengthens.<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 10.5pt; color: #2b2c33;\"><\/span><\/span><\/p><p><span><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt; font-family: 'Trebuchet MS',sans-serif; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-bidi; color: black; border: none windowtext 1.0pt; mso-border-alt: none windowtext 0cm; padding: 0cm; mso-ansi-language: EN-CA; mso-fareast-language: EN-GB; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;\"><span style=\"text-decoration: inherit;\">The world is entering tumultuous times. I know many of you are disappointed in the recent performance of precious metals miners,\u00a0but\u00a0 I expect the tides to be turning\u00a0over sooner than later.<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-013408e elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"013408e\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-d5177e5\" data-id=\"d5177e5\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f4c45e4 elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"f4c45e4\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-c67aa4f elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"c67aa4f\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-6d21444\" data-id=\"6d21444\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-09efc94 elementor-author-box--layout-image-left elementor-author-box--align-left elementor-author-box--image-valign-middle elementor-widget elementor-widget-author-box\" data-id=\"09efc94\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"author-box.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<link rel=\"stylesheet\" href=\"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/plugins\/elementor-pro\/assets\/css\/widget-theme-elements.min.css\">\t\t<div class=\"elementor-author-box\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div  class=\"elementor-author-box__avatar\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/jamie-img.jpg\" alt=\"Jamie Keech\" loading=\"lazy\">\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-author-box__text\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div >\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4 class=\"elementor-author-box__name\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tJamie Keech\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/h4>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-author-box__bio\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>CIO; Editor<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-bfa933b\" data-id=\"bfa933b\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-dd9748d elementor-author-box--image-valign-middle elementor-widget elementor-widget-author-box\" data-id=\"dd9748d\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"author-box.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-author-box\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div  class=\"elementor-author-box__avatar\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Nick-DOnofrio-300x300.png\" alt=\"Nick D&#039;Onofrio\" loading=\"lazy\">\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-author-box__text\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div >\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<h4 class=\"elementor-author-box__name\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tNick D'Onofrio\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/h4>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-author-box__bio\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Head of Research<\/p>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-c5b2249 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"c5b2249\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-62bce95\" data-id=\"62bce95\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8ead305 elementor-widget elementor-widget-spacer\" data-id=\"8ead305\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"spacer.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-spacer-inner\"><\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-c2581c1 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"c2581c1\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-5bc4671\" data-id=\"5bc4671\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-80e8ee3 elementor-share-buttons--skin-boxed elementor-share-buttons--shape-circle elementor-share-buttons--align-center elementor-share-buttons--view-icon-text elementor-grid-0 elementor-share-buttons--color-official elementor-widget elementor-widget-share-buttons\" data-id=\"80e8ee3\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"share-buttons.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<link rel=\"stylesheet\" href=\"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-content\/plugins\/elementor-pro\/assets\/css\/widget-share-buttons.min.css\">\t\t<div class=\"elementor-grid\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-grid-item\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tclass=\"elementor-share-btn elementor-share-btn_facebook\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\trole=\"button\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\ttabindex=\"0\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\taria-label=\"Share on facebook\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-share-btn__icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-fab-facebook\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M504 256C504 119 393 8 256 8S8 119 8 256c0 123.78 90.69 226.38 209.25 245V327.69h-63V256h63v-54.64c0-62.15 37-96.48 93.67-96.48 27.14 0 55.52 4.84 55.52 4.84v61h-31.28c-30.8 0-40.41 19.12-40.41 38.73V256h68.78l-11 71.69h-57.78V501C413.31 482.38 504 379.78 504 256z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-share-btn__text\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-share-btn__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tFacebook\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-grid-item\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tclass=\"elementor-share-btn elementor-share-btn_twitter\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\trole=\"button\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\ttabindex=\"0\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\taria-label=\"Share on twitter\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-share-btn__icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-fab-twitter\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M459.37 151.716c.325 4.548.325 9.097.325 13.645 0 138.72-105.583 298.558-298.558 298.558-59.452 0-114.68-17.219-161.137-47.106 8.447.974 16.568 1.299 25.34 1.299 49.055 0 94.213-16.568 130.274-44.832-46.132-.975-84.792-31.188-98.112-72.772 6.498.974 12.995 1.624 19.818 1.624 9.421 0 18.843-1.3 27.614-3.573-48.081-9.747-84.143-51.98-84.143-102.985v-1.299c13.969 7.797 30.214 12.67 47.431 13.319-28.264-18.843-46.781-51.005-46.781-87.391 0-19.492 5.197-37.36 14.294-52.954 51.655 63.675 129.3 105.258 216.365 109.807-1.624-7.797-2.599-15.918-2.599-24.04 0-57.828 46.782-104.934 104.934-104.934 30.213 0 57.502 12.67 76.67 33.137 23.715-4.548 46.456-13.32 66.599-25.34-7.798 24.366-24.366 44.833-46.132 57.827 21.117-2.273 41.584-8.122 60.426-16.243-14.292 20.791-32.161 39.308-52.628 54.253z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-share-btn__text\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-share-btn__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tTwitter\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-grid-item\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\tclass=\"elementor-share-btn elementor-share-btn_linkedin\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\trole=\"button\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\ttabindex=\"0\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\taria-label=\"Share on linkedin\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-share-btn__icon\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<svg class=\"e-font-icon-svg e-fab-linkedin\" viewBox=\"0 0 448 512\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\"><path d=\"M416 32H31.9C14.3 32 0 46.5 0 64.3v383.4C0 465.5 14.3 480 31.9 480H416c17.6 0 32-14.5 32-32.3V64.3c0-17.8-14.4-32.3-32-32.3zM135.4 416H69V202.2h66.5V416zm-33.2-243c-21.3 0-38.5-17.3-38.5-38.5S80.9 96 102.2 96c21.2 0 38.5 17.3 38.5 38.5 0 21.3-17.2 38.5-38.5 38.5zm282.1 243h-66.4V312c0-24.8-.5-56.7-34.5-56.7-34.6 0-39.9 27-39.9 54.9V416h-66.4V202.2h63.7v29.2h.9c8.9-16.8 30.6-34.5 62.9-34.5 67.2 0 79.7 44.3 79.7 101.9V416z\"><\/path><\/svg>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-share-btn__text\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-share-btn__title\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tLinkedIn\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I am not saying that a recession is imminent, but one may be lurking around the corner; and if it\u2019s not a recession, it&#8217;s probably recession\u2019s cousin stagflation.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":874,"featured_media":23123,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[26],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23119"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/874"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23119"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23119\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23133,"href":"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23119\/revisions\/23133"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/23123"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23119"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23119"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/resourceinsider.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23119"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}